Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 60.034336 68.233005 76.668955 85.964522 95.887602 106.133245 117.481369
2025-06-15 48.297490 60.078555 72.798652 87.415938 103.619189 120.911914 140.646723
2025-06-22 41.434530 55.210284 70.622172 88.859854 109.590091 132.186812 158.454059
2025-06-29 34.985645 49.881799 67.124337 88.084112 112.442464 139.479047 171.394264
2025-07-06 29.118223 44.520971 62.970356 85.984949 113.288742 144.095479 180.959485
2025-07-13 26.903678 43.365689 63.587791 89.282201 120.203155 155.480058 198.076641
2025-07-20 24.427396 41.591075 63.222449 91.210045 125.356223 164.723299 212.661400
2025-07-27 21.305097 38.643872 61.137205 90.821860 127.572996 170.411646 223.034209
2025-08-03 18.442012 35.759399 58.903404 90.053496 129.170831 175.247699 232.314084
2025-08-10 16.428343 33.875351 57.824479 90.614449 132.291815 181.816453 243.570245
2025-08-17 14.241947 31.508354 55.927207 89.983895 133.828050 186.405286 252.424877
2025-08-24 12.588693 29.781917 54.779402 90.226492 136.376400 192.158339 262.622721
2025-08-31 10.694385 27.483358 52.716587 89.193129 137.293126 195.949279 270.537476
2025-09-07 9.660672 26.505184 52.475411 90.558545 141.246633 203.454155 282.933384
2025-09-14 8.766573 25.663761 52.365134 92.051407 145.330451 211.100775 295.494241
2025-09-21 7.424805 23.834043 50.660350 91.256462 146.376865 214.937646 303.399826
2025-09-28 5.962627 21.535788 48.080559 89.113692 145.559996 216.378129 308.324680
2025-10-05 5.748485 21.726535 49.388855 92.479921 152.033630 226.977867 324.494241
2025-10-12 5.287774 21.335419 49.734863 94.447660 156.637511 235.223461 337.781203
2025-10-19 4.460807 20.008096 48.484650 94.051470 158.037517 239.391666 346.026713
2025-10-26 3.672436 18.606682 47.016753 93.267225 158.863900 242.796371 353.304077
2025-11-02 3.169955 17.799162 46.493637 93.839778 161.506296 248.505419 363.438148
2025-11-09 2.570661 16.589449 45.195668 93.196183 162.446113 252.004698 370.802680